A Matter of Trust, Part 2

In “A Matter of Trust,” I pointed out how untrustworthy people are. If you don’t possess expertise on a topic, it becomes quite challenging to know who you can trust. Yet, you must be able to trust certain people, because no one man can know everything they need to know.

Black and White Doctors

A while back, in “Imposter Syndrome,” I discussed how DEI-hire Ketanji Brown Jackson—a Justice of the United States Supreme Court—incorrectly cited a study in a way that was mathematically absurd. She had cited a particularly bad study, saying this:

Ketanji Brown Jackson
“For high-risk black newborns, having a black physician more than doubles the likelihood that the baby will live, and not die.”

At the time it was well known that the study was complete garbage, and a Supreme Court Justice should be smart and honest enough not to cite such a study. But Jackson is an idealogue on the Supreme Court and does not care (or is otherwise incapable) about such things. Here are some of the problems:

Pradheep J Shanker, MD
The initial study was a mess. The study did not correct for the reality that African American have a greater likelihood of serious medical complications to begin with, and that those treating the most severe cases tend to be more white.

African American newborns are almost three times as likely as white newborns to weigh less than 1,500 grams. Those babies are far more likely to be treated by neonatologist specialists…who tend to be more white and Asian. They didn’t correct for that fact.

In short, the initial study did a very poor job of really evaluating if race did effect outcomes, because it didn’t compare apples to apples.

The point is, you can’t trust one of the most powerful people in the world, one of the people making life and death decisions for one of the most important countries in the world.

But it actually gets far worse than this.

evolian

Everybody already knows the 2020 paper accusing White doctors of spontaneous bias with a so-called 58% drop in mortality gap for black newborns under black physicians was ******— [the] results zeroed out when controlling for very low birth weight.

But they also cut a key data point, according to FOIA requests:

“In this model, White newborns face 80 more deaths per 100,000 births with a Black physician than a White one, suggesting a 22% fatality drop from racial concordance”

— because it “undermines the narrative.”

That’s right, not only did the study fail to actually show that white doctors put black babies at risk, but their study actually showed that black doctors put white babies at risk!

The above quotation was originally in the paper, but was removed. Here is the explanation for the authors removing it:

BNG23
I’d rather not focus on this. If we’re telling the story from the perspective of saving black infants this undermines the narrative.

Of course the study is complete garbage and you shouldn’t trust any of the results it produced, but the point was that they felt perfectly justified in redacting the study in order to service a narrative instead of the truth. And a Supreme Court Justice went along with it.

Doll Test

During one of the most famous Supreme Court cases—Brown v. Board of Education—the court cited a famous study conducted by Kenneth and Mamie Clark. They tested the children by having them selecting which of a white and black doll was “nice” or “bad.” They found that Black children showed more “internalized racism” when they were in segregated schools versus integrated schools. It was supposed to prove that segregation psychologically damaged blacks.

That is what was reported. But, like the study on black and white doctors, the actual study results told a different story.

What the study data actually showed is that children in integrated schools were more likely to prefer the white dolls and have negative perceptions of the black dolls compared to those in segregated schools. This contradicted the notion that segregation increased so-called “internalized racism.” The study showed that “racism” increased in integrated schools! By the initial reasoning of the study, this would mean that integrated schools were psychologically damaging blacks (and, presumably, whites).

Of course, it is unlikely that the choice of dolls proves or disproves racism, or that it shows psychological damage of any kind. It was a stupid study. But that didn’t prevent SCOTUS from citing it for ideological purposes or from the researchers from drawing the opposite conclusion from what the data actually suggested.

Blind Orchestra Audition

From The Guardian, here.

Eleven years ago The Guardian reported on a study that showed that when candidates auditioned behind a screen that hid the identity of the player that there was a corresponding, and dramatic, increase in the number of women who were hired to play in orchestras. The study supposedly proved sexism in the music industry.

One day, Jonatan Pallesen, decided to examine the study. He found only one statistically significant result. And this is what it was:

Jonatan Pallesen
In the paper there is only one statistically significant result. It is this:

The highlighted number shows that when auditions are blind, the relative female success (compared to men), is negative. Which means that women do worse in blind auditions. Not better, as is the claim.

Yes, that’s right. The study showed anti-male bias in orchestra auditions. Men were being discriminated against. When the auditions became blind, men were the beneficiaries.

Of course, like the examples above, this study is also not particularly strong. It is simply notable that given the only statistically significant result, the researchers made the opposite conclusion from what the study data actually showed.

Inversion

What all of these studies have in common is their inversion of reality. All three studies showed statistical support for a particular conclusion and yet the researchers drew the exact opposite conclusion from what the statistics supported.

Unfortunately, this is very common, as Bruce Charlton noted with the interaction with the OG Pseudonymous Commenter:

Bruce Charlton
I don’t debate with people who are stupid or dishonest and invertedly misrepresent my clearly expressed views (what would be the point?); but the question of “reality” (used three times!) is presumably one of science, history and the like.

The problem is that Extremely Few people nowadays are genuinely interested in the truth of what they are pretending to discuss – their real major priorities are quite otherwise, usually covert, and sometimes denied.

Unless someone shows that they are genuinely interested in truth, you should not trust them. The propensity towards inversion is one of the most significant fruits demonstrating that one is not interested in truth.

Be careful and alert whenever you spot inversion (e.g. search for “invert” herehere, and here. Or see the examples in the comments hereherehere, and here). See how people respond when their inversions are pointed out.

Truthseeking

Redacted
The right question is “Who can I trust?”

LOL Weren’t you the guy who once claimed to be able to evaluate ideas on their own merit, and not according to ad hominem against their author or credentialism?

Can you, dear reader, see the difference?

The fact of the matter is that no man has the ability to evaluate every idea on merit by their own ability. No matter how talented or intelligent you are, you must rely on others.

Accepting authority is not an argument from authority. It is, rather obviously, not an argument at all. Yet, as I have written in the past, it is not even a fallacy for people to agree to use an authority—even in an actual argument—provided they mutually agree to do so. In other words, it’s not an appeal to authority, it’s merely an assumption, given, or axiom, rather than a part of the argument itself.

Notably also, trusting another person does not mean that the ideas you accept are not based on their own merit. It just means you are getting help in dealing with your own limitations. There is nothing wrong with that. Indeed, it’s essentially a requirement to get by in life.

The key is knowing how to determine who is—or isn’t—trustworthy.

So what do all of the three studies above have in common? What factor do they share that leads to their being untrustworthy?

Here is a hint: “Not Even Trying” by Bruce Charlton.

3 Comments

  1. professorGBFMtm
    The fact of the matter is that no man has the ability to evaluate every idea on merit by their own ability. No matter how talented or intelligent you are, you must rely on others.

    Notably also, trusting another person does not mean that the ideas you accept are not based on their own merit. It just means you are getting help in dealing with your own limitations. There is nothing wrong with that. Indeed, it’s essentially a requirement to get by in life.

    i guess this includes friends too?As seen as here:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oql_tUVln88

    It’s not you. Real friends no longer exist and people aren’t worth it.

    24,774 views May 15, 2025 #positivity #tribe #relationships
    It’s becoming impossible to connect with people and build meaningful relationships. It’s not just you, it’s happening to all of us. Truth is, people kind of suck, and it’s only getting worse!

    In this video, we’ll dive into what’s behind the decline of meaningful social interactions, friendships, and relationships, how avoiding toxic people can benefit your life, why you don’t need a bunch of friends to be happy, and why surrounding yourself with a tribe of like-minded people is one of the most powerful things you can do for yourself.

    i had seen this video listed over the past couple of days and just now watched it.

    1. Liz

      I saw up until the commercial portion.

      That is sad. I can’t say this has been my experience outside of the internet.

      In my world, people are usually nice and helpful (again, not counting the internet).

      I guess there have been a couple of really weird neighborhoods we’ve lived in that were the exception. Fortunately we didn’t stay there long.

      Mike goes to coffee shops almost every day now, and he did notice the overall lack of customer service in some places. He avoids those and goes to the places where the service is friendly. They still exist.

      Kind of ties into companies and management, and all that also (people spend a great deal of their time at work, and if work is terrible it is much harder to live a happy life).

      I was listening to Mike Rowe podcast yesterday, interviewing the CEO of WD-40 Company, Garry Ridge. I haven’t looked into him at all so I do not know his politics, but his leadership style sounds exactly like Mike’s (and all good CEOs). The company cultivates an environment that creates support and loyalty.

      When Herb Keller was running SWA, he did the same thing. He knew everyone’s name…from the luggage handlers to the flight attendants to the pilots. Loyalty for him and the company was so great that it was a point of pride for the pilots to retire without taking a single sick day. At the end, some pilots had saved up about a year and a half’s worth of unclaimed hours they could choose to either cash in or give back, and they almost always gave that back to the company. A lot has changed since then, but that was the culture. Unimaginable now, but it happened which means it is possible.

      1. Lastmod

        In my industry, I keep hearing “service” and when its time and called to “give” it, out come the stacks of paperwork, binders, policies, protocols from HR, legal, the corporate structure itself outside of HR.

        I still try to have the basic problems solved between us (my company); and vendor / customer with a handshake, a phone call or two without a stack of paperwork, and triplicate to sign. Getting harder to do now. Even ten years ago it was hard to do.

        I have been reprimanded a few times because of this approach….and I see why the policies came i, and grew…..and got a life of their own. Its because we live in a sue-happy culture of too many lawyer, too many policies and too much free time by politicians from the local to the federal….and this includes “trump loving states” as well. Our company has offices in Texas, and its hardly a place where there are no regulations and everyone is honest. Its like “everyone in The South is a devout church going, Christian, and everyone follows the laws, rules, and they dont need police because everyone loves Jesus so much!”

        Anyway….

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